NFL Week 5 Betting Notes: Steelers Dealing with Historic Unfold

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After the primary 4 weeks featured a complete of 9 video games with minimal landing spreads, Week 5 at present has six such video games. Greatest unfold of season is in Buffalo as Payments are 14-point favourite Pittsburgh Steelers, Pittsburgh hasn’t been such an enormous downtrodden since 1969. The Steelers are the one crew to have by no means been a 14-point underdog for the reason that 1970 AFL/NFL merger.

the second greatest downtrodden of the week Atlanta Falcons, Over the course of 4 weeks, the Falcons are the one crew that’s unbeaten in opposition to the unfold. Nevertheless, who has the largest cowl margin? jacksonville jaguars, This week, Jaguars takes on their greatest favourite since 2019. they’re giving 7 factors Houston Texans Regardless of shedding eight consecutive one-on-one conferences.

For the primary time ever, two groups with successful data face off in London, however the unfold means a mismatch. inexperienced Bay Packers are 8-point favorites in opposition to New York Giants, Within the final 15 seasons, groups have been 7–0 ATS (6–0 ATS in London) in favor of at the very least 7 factors in worldwide video games.

season outcomes

  • Underdog: 8-7-1 ATS final week (35-25-3 ATS this season, .583)

  • Underneath: 8-8 final week (37-26-1, .587) this season

  • Atlanta: 4-0 ATS

  • Detroit: 4-0 overs

  • 9 straight Indianapolis video games have gone down the overall, together with all 4 this season.

  • Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 outright of their final seven video games as an underdog (1-0 outright this season).

  • Indianapolis is a 16-10-1 ATS after a loss below Frank Reich.

  • Denver is 0-2 ATS as favourite this season and 7-12 ATS as favourite (9-10 SU) of their final 19 video games.

  • Frank Reich is an 11-6-2 ATS as a highway underdog with 5 straight covers (4-1 SU).

  • Indianapolis fails to cowl the sport by 9.4 factors per recreation, the worst mark within the NFL.

  • Since 2019, the highway groups in Thursday’s recreation (27-26 SU) are 32-21 ATS. Underneath 30-23 in Thursday’s recreation.

  • Prime-time Underneath is 9-4 this season and 98-72-3 from 2019.

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Joe Fortenbaugh explains why the Underneath is one of the best guess for Thursday Evening Soccer.

  • Within the final 15 seasons, groups with at the very least seven factors in worldwide video games have been 7–0 ATS (6–0 ATS in London).

  • Underneath Matt LaFleur, Inexperienced Bay are 34-19 ATS, one of the best mark within the league since 2019. They’re 24-16 ATS as favorites however 8-9 ATS are at the very least seven-point favorites.

  • New York are outright 2-0 as an underdog this season (+3.05 models).

  • Pittsburgh hasn’t been the least 14-point underdog since 1969. Pittsburgh is the one crew for the reason that 1970 AFL/NFL merger that has by no means been at the very least a 14-point underdog. Pittsburgh’s greatest underdog function for the reason that merger is +13.5 in opposition to Dallas in Tremendous Bowl XXX (which they misplaced 10), and its greatest underdog function below Mike Tomlin in final yr’s wild card recreation in opposition to Kansas Metropolis. is 12 factors.

  • Since Mike Tomlin was employed in 2007, Pittsburgh has a 44-25-3 ATS as an underdog, the second-best mark within the league in that interval. They’re 37–35 outright, the one crew to win in that interval. Tomlin is 11-2 ATS (7-6 SU) as an underdog of at the very least 3.5 factors when Ben Roethlisberger just isn’t his quarterback, and he’s 7-1 ATS with out Massive Ben as at the very least a six-point underdog. Is.

  • josh allen Not less than he has a 10-4-2 ATS as a seven-point favourite, and he’s a 6-2-2 ATS as a double-digit favourite.

  • Final season, the first-round quarterback made his first profession NFL debut on the 0-5 ATS.

  • That is the largest unfold up to now this season. The final excessive was in Week 2 when Inexperienced Bay coated a ten.5-point unfold in opposition to Chicago.

  • Cleveland is 7-12 ATS below Kevin Stefanski at house.

  • Kevin Stefansky is 9-19 ATS in convention video games.

  • Brandon Staley is 1-3 outright and ATS as a highway favourite, though he gained final week.

  • The final 4 occasions Jacksonville was a favourite, it misplaced the sport outright, with three of these losses coming in opposition to Houston.

  • Jacksonville hasn’t been a landing favourite since Week 8 of 2019 New York Jets (-7), which final included Jacksonville as a favourite.

  • Houston has gained eight consecutive conferences (6-2 ATS).

  • Jacksonville has the very best common cowl margin within the NFL (+14.3). That is one of the best rating in 4 matches by any crew since 2019 San Francisco (+15.3).

  • Minnesota has didn’t cowl three video games in a row.

  • Chicago is 4-12 ATS as an underdog for the reason that begin of final season. Justin Fields As an underdog there’s 3-9 ATS.

  • Minnesota has 7-13 ATS because the favorites from 2020.

  • Minnesota has coated 4 of the final 5 conferences.

  • Minnesota didn’t take a bye after their recreation in London final week. Groups are 2-3 outright and ATS after their London video games with no bye.

  • Detroit is 13-6 ATS below Dan Campbell (11-2 ATS in final 13 video games as underdogs).

  • Detroit has coated six straight highway video games, however is outright 0-10-1 in its final 11 highway video games (0-9-1 below Dan Campbell).

  • Invoice Belichick is 60-33-1 ATS after a loss with New England. That is solely 12-12 ats when at the very least two straight losses (3-8 ats with out) tom brady,

  • Seattle is a 45-27-2 ATS as an underdog below Pete Carroll, together with a 16-8-1 ATS over the previous 5 seasons.

  • Geno Smith He has 23-15 ATS in his profession, together with a 10-2 ATS in his final 12 and a 5-2 ATS with Seattle.

  • Dennis Allen is 2-7 ATS as the favourite in his profession (0-2 ATS with New Orleans).

  • New Orleans did not take a bye after its recreation in London final week. Groups are 2-3 outright and ATS after their London video games with no bye.

miami dolphins (-3) on the New York Jets, Sunday at 1 ET

  • Miami is outright 7-1 and ATS within the final eight conferences. Miami has coated 4 straight highway conferences and 10 of the final 14 highway conferences.

  • New York are 1-5 outright and ATS after one win of their final six video games (1-4 below Robert Saleh).

  • New York are 3-7 ATS as a house underdog below Robert Saleh (1-6 ATS within the final seven video games).

  • Over the previous 5 seasons, Miami has 13-7 ATS because the favourites.

  • Over the previous 5 seasons, New York is 6-18 ATS in division video games. Over the identical interval, Miami is a 17-8-1 ATS in opposition to division opponents.

  • teddy bridgewater Has 42-21 ATS in his profession (.667). That is one of the best mark by any quarterback within the Tremendous Bowl period with at the very least 40 begins. He’s 5-2 ATS as highway favourite, though he has been highway favourite at the very least twice (2-0 ATS).

  • Out of the final eight conferences, seven conferences have exceeded the overall.

  • Atlanta are 0-7 outright and 1-5-1 ATS below Arthur Smith as at the very least a seven-point underdog.

  • Atlanta is a 7-3-1 ATS below Arthur Smith on the highway.

  • Tom Brady is 10-0 outright and 9-1 ATS in opposition to Atlanta in his profession, together with the playoffs.

  • Over the previous three seasons, Tennessee has 8-14 ATS as the favourite.

  • Washington has didn’t cowl three video games in a row.

  • Seventeen of Ryan Tanhill’s 22 roads that start in Tennessee are eradicated in whole.

  • Carolina is 3-15 ATS in her final 18 video games.

  • All 4 San Francisco video games have gone below the overall. Seven straight San Francisco video games have come below cowl courting again to final season’s post-season. Carolina’s final three video games had been poor.

  • Carolina is 17-5 ATS in opposition to San Francisco always.

  • Cooper Rush 4-0 outright in his profession and is ATS. Solely 5 quarterbacks to begin their careers within the Tremendous Bowl period have began 5–0 in each outright and ATS (Mike Kruzek, Kurt Warner, Ben Roethlisberger). Patrick Mahomes And Kyle Allen,

  • For the reason that begin of final season, Dallas is a 9-1 ATS on the highway and a 13-2 ATS in convention video games.

  • Sean McVay is 16-9 ATS after one loss.

  • Dallas are 6–1 straight below Mike McCarthy and the ATS are 3–7 factors because the underdogs with six straight victories. Dallas is 5-0 with out Dak Prescott,

  • Arizona is 8-2 ATS as an underdog for the reason that begin of final season. Nevertheless, each ATS’s losses got here at house (0-2). Arizona is a 20-10-1 ATS general as an underdog below Cliff Kingsbury.

  • Arizona is 19-9 ATS below Cliff Kingsbury in September/October (12-3 ATS in October).

  • Philadelphia has coated three straight video games.

  • Cincinnati’s 9 straight video games have gone below a complete courting again to the earlier season, together with the playoffs.

  • Baltimore is 12-2-2 ATS when the road is between +3 and -3 since 2019, which was Lamar Jackson’s first full season as a starter.

  • Cincinnati has coated 4 straight video games because the Street Underdogs.

  • The Unders are 10-2 in Cincinnati Street video games for the reason that begin of final season, together with the playoffs. Cincinnati is 9-3 ATS in these video games.

  • Prime-time Underneath is 9-4 this season and 98-72-3 from 2019.

  • Every of the final 4 conferences exceeded the overall.

  • Patrick Mahomes is a straight 7-1 and 6-2 ATS in opposition to Las Vegas.

  • Kansas Metropolis is 34-21 ATS in division video games below Andy Reid.

  • Kansas Metropolis have 1-4 ATS because the favorites of their final 5 video games.

  • Prime-time Underneath is 9-4 this season and 98-72-3 from 2019.

  • Over the previous 10 seasons, underdogs have been 87-69-3 ATS in Monday’s video games, and underdogs with at the very least seven factors are 27-18-1 ATS.

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