NFL Odds Week 5: Greatest Bets for the Seahawks-Saints, Giants-Packers, Extra

By Geoff Schwartz
Fox Sports activities NFL Analyst

I can not imagine 4 weeks outdated NFL Seasons are already within the books! The place has the time gone? From a fan and bookie standpoint, it has been a blast.

Sometimes, oddsmakers will consolidate their energy rankings after 4 weeks of knowledge, so this Week 5 slate must be fascinating.

As for my bets, 4 traces instantly popped up in entrance of me, so I patted on them earlier than the percentages had been doubtlessly transferring. Let’s dive into my 5 bets of the week, courtesy of Odds fox guess,

seahawks , Saints (1 p.m. ET Sundays, Fox)

Seattle Seahawks


New Orleans Saints


Seattle is unquestionably delectable, and they are often actually good, of us. After 4 weeks, the Seahawks’ offense is ranked No. 1 within the NFC. Sure, you learn that appropriately.

Barely forward of Hawks by Added Anticipated Factors (EPA) Eagles, however he suffered a protection permitting 35 factors per recreation. On the opposite facet of the ball, Seattle is close to the underside of the NFL on protection. What does this imply for this week? Nicely, New Orleans is not wholesome nor taking part in notably nicely.

The Saints’ protection was ranked twenty sixth within the DVOA and was coming into its recreation in opposition to Vikings in London, and so they lived as much as that rating. The Vikings swung the ball with ease however stalled an excessive amount of within the purple zone, scoring 5 discipline targets in a 28–25 victory.

The Saints will now journey again from London and attempt to get their quarterback, finest operating again and finest receiver again on the sector to face a spirited Seahawks staff. I am completely satisfied to get factors early with the Seahawks on this house.

to pick: Seahawks (+6 on FOX guess) to lose (or win outright) by a minimum of 6 factors

chargers , Browns (1 p.m. ET Sundays, CBS)

Los Angeles Chargers


Cleveland Browns


Cleveland suffered an odd loss atlanta on Sunday. Brown’s first drive ended after an unsuccessful fourth down try on the Falcons’ three-yard line. On Cleveland’s fourth drive, it was the primary and purpose on the one-yard line, however ended with a discipline purpose try from 11. Regardless of unsuccessful makes an attempt to attain a landing in these moments, Brown had the ball and tied the sport late on the fourth quarterback earlier than a punt, and an interception ended his recreation.

Brown have misplaced 1 level jet and a game-ending discipline purpose by the Falcons as their two defeats. They’re a very good staff with few issues ending the sport on offense and defence.

Los Angeles involves Cleveland with a win in opposition to a foul texans crew. The Chargers will do one other highway journey and not using a left deal with, their finest move rusher, their finest cornerback, an all-pro middle and another necessary cogs. They’re a beat-up soccer staff, and the Browns have gamers to reap the benefits of, particularly on the line of defense.

If Miles Garrett is again, indicating hazard Justin Herbert and the cartilage of his damaged rib. The Chargers’ run protection continues to be leaky, and the Browns have the perfect mixture of operating again and offensive lineman within the NFL. I will take three factors now, in the beginning of the week.

to pick: Brown (+3 on FOX guess) to lose (or win outright) by lower than 3 factors

Mark Sanchez on Aaron Rodgers, main the Packers in Week 5 | herd

Fox analyst Mark Sanchez joins Colin Cowherd to debate Aaron Rodgers and the depth of the sport he brings to the sector.

giants , packer (9:30AM ET Sunday, NFL Community)

New York Giants


inexperienced Bay Packers


Giants Quarterback Daniel Jones The match is on its solution to open in opposition to the Packers in London on Sunday morning. And whereas I’ve no confidence that the Giants will win this recreation, I feel they’re peak sufficient to cowl this unfold.

with a heath Saxon BarclayWith the operating capacity of Daniel Jones, the Giants have the seventh highest-efficiency speeding assault. They’re taking part in a Packers protection which is twenty eighth in run protection. If the Giants preserve discovering new methods to identify their fast assault to breakthrough, I feel they will management the clock and preserve it shut.

packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers Guiding an offense nonetheless looking for its means with new receivers and an offensive line getting back from accidents. Within the first three years below Matt LaFleur, the Packers have been averaging fewer factors and passing yards this season, permitting for extra sacks per recreation.

Giants Protection is in third place and second in Purple Zone. It will be truthful to query these rankings as they have not precisely confronted the quarterback’s killer row within the first 4 weeks. Ryan Tannehill, baker mayfield, Cooper Rush And Justin Fields, So sure, Aaron Rodgers is by far the perfect quarterback he would have confronted in a complete season. However Rogers didn’t play nicely.

In the long run, Daniel Jones has been wonderful in opposition to the away from house unfold (ATS), main 13-6. I will take the Giants to cowl.

to pick, Giants (+7.5 on FOX bets) lose by lower than 7.5 factors (or win outright)

The Eagles problem the Chiefs on the prime of Nick’s NFL Tiers which is coming into Week 5. first issues first

Nick has Patrick Mahomes, Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and Jalen Harts, Philadelphia Eagles to prime the record of finest groups within the NFL.

Raiders , chiefs ,8:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN,

Las Vegas Raiders


Kansas Metropolis Chiefs


Andy Reid coached Kansas Metropolis in 2013 and his Chiefs squad has owned the Raiders having misplaced simply 3 times in 18 video games. A lot of the 15 wins have been greater than a landing, with solely two wins coming in lower than six factors. Most of the time, the rating seems to be just like the one we noticed final season, with the Chiefs successful 48-9 and 41-14. They’re going to dominate a foul Raiders staff once more on Monday evening.

Chiefs acquired their swagger again in opposition to them buxo Sunday evening and I do not anticipate to lose in opposition to a hated opponent within the Raiders. Close to the highest of all effectivity numbers, the Chiefs offense is again the place I anticipated. Raiders are twenty second in protection passing, twenty ninth in purple zone and thirty first in sacks. In the event you’re not pressurizing MahomesHe’ll tear this protection aside.

The attackers’ offense has proven some life, however not sufficient the place it issues. Their offensive line struggles, resulting in poor performances within the purple zone. He’s twenty eighth in purple zone crime. The Chiefs’ protection has improved considerably, and it isn’t onerous to see them win within the trenches and outright karr Monday evening from begin to end.

The Chiefs are going to win this recreation and can simply take cowl.

to pick: Chiefs (-7.5 at Fox Wager) to win by greater than 7.5 factors

Geoff Schwartz performed eight seasons for 5 totally different groups within the NFL. He began proper for the College of Oregon for 3 seasons and was chosen to the second staff All-Pac-12 in his senior 12 months. He’s an NFL analyst for Fox Sports activities. observe him on twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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